Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Myles Turner Over 1.5 Made Threes (+162)
According to our projections, this should be priced much closer to 50/50.
Myles Turner is taking on the Miami Heat. Miami gives up a lot of three-point tries. Their three-point attempt rate allowed of 43.6% is the highest in the league.
Turner has hit multiple treys in three of his past five games. He's due to take a few more threes, too. For the year, his three-point attempt rate is 35.0%. It's been at least 42.6% in three straight seasons, and DARKO has him at an expected three-point attempt rate of 38.6%.
Our model has Turner making 1.6 threes on 4.7 attempts. With the over priced at +162, this prop is a fun one to zero in on.
Reggie Jackson Under 1.5 Made Threes (+108)
Reggie Jackson is going up against the Boston Celtics, and they're a rough matchup for threes.
Boston has permitted a three-point attempt rate of 35.8%, the fifth-lowest. They've given up only 7.5 three-point tries per game to point guards, the 11th-fewest.
The Los Angeles Clippers should have their two stars -- Paul George and Kawhi Leonard -- at close to full strength tonight as those two have been ramping up in recent games. That, as you'd expect, takes usage away from Jackson.
With LA's expected starting five on the floor this year, Jackson has just a 17.4% usage rate and makes only 1.44 threes per 36 minutes, according to RotoGrinders' CourtIQ. That's a usage-rate drop of 3.1 percentage points and a decrease of -1.85 made threes per 36 minutes from Jackson's season-long marks.
We project him right at this line, forecasting Jackson to hit 1.5 threes on 4.5 tries on Monday. With the over at -138 and the under priced at +108, I'll roll the dice on the under.
Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Assists (-120)
The Oklahoma City Thunder are a sweet matchup for Luka Doncic.
OKC plays way up in pace compared to the Dallas Mavericks, with the Thunder ranking fifth in pace and Dallas sitting next to last. And the blowout risk isn't as bad as you may think as Dallas is just an 8.5-point home favorite.
Doncic has gone over 8.5 dimes in 9 of his previous 11 games. He had 10 assists in his last meeting with OKC. We project him for 8.8 assists today.
You can also take a shot on Luka to record a triple-double, which is +390. We have him projected for 32.5 points, 8.5 boards and 8.8 assists. If he gets his usual minutes, he should give it a good run. OKC is surrendering the eighth-most rebounds per game to point guards.