Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.
Utilizing our projections as a guide and looking at the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are some spots where you can find value today in the prop-betting market.
Here are some MLB player prop bets to make tonight.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.
Adolis Garcia To Hit a Home Run (+300)/
Josh Jung To Hit a Home Run (+350)
The Texas Rangers are in a great spot for some offense tonight, and we should see it coming via the long ball.
Texas' 5.16 implied run total is the second-highest on the slate, and they are a great spot to look for some player props. They are going up against Tyler Anderson, a pitcher we should be excited to attack whenever he is on the mound.
This season, Anderson allows a .372 wOBA, .509 SLG, 6.16 xFIP, 1.23 HR/9, and 49.7% fly-ball rate versus right-handed hitters. This is the split we want to be targeting against Anderson.
This leads us to both Adolis Garcia and Josh Jung, two righties in a great spot tonight. We'll start with Garcia, who comes in with a 144 wRC+, .378 wOBA, .217 ISO, 36.4% fly-ball rate, and 38.6% hard-contact rate versus left-handed pitchers.
Next, Jung comes in with a big 172 wRC+, .419 wOBA, .317 ISO, 36.7% fly-ball rate, and 53.1% hard-contact rate versus left-handed pitchers.
This is truly an excellent matchup for both of them so I'm adding Garcia To Record an RBI (+105) and Jung To Record an RBI (+120).
Zach Eflin Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-134)
While the Oakland Athletics have picked up a few wins in a row, they are still a great team to pick on via pitching props.
That leads us to over 5.5 strikeouts for Zach Eflin of the Tampa Bay Rays. Eflin comes in with a solid 25.7% strikeout rate, 3.5% walk rate, 10.8% swinging-strike rate, and 30.4% called-plus-swinging-strike (CSW) rate. He's been super solid across the board, and that has resulted in Eflin racking up over 5.5 strikeouts in three of his last five starts.
In those three starts, Eflin pushed his single-game strikeout rate to 33.3% or higher in each outing. He has a high ceiling to reach for, and this matchup against the Athletics should help put that on display. Oakland comes in with a 25.4% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitchers, which is the third-worst in the league.
Josh Lowe To Record an RBI (+115)
From a Rays pitcher to a Tampa Bay hitter.
The Rays have an elite offense, and getting a simple RBI prop at plus money is about as straightforward as it gets. Tonight, they have a 5.14 implied run total, and with a few plus-money RBI props to choose from, I'm turning to Josh Lowe.
Lowe will be up against James Kaprielian, who comes in allowing a .430 wOBA, .600 SLG, 7.07 xFIP, 2.84 HR/9, .290 BABIP, 50.0% fly-ball rate, and 40.3% hard-contact rate to left-handed hitters this season. That's about as bad as it gets, and with Lowe hitting in the heart of the Rays' lineup, he should have plenty of chances tonight.
Lowe is rocking a 151 wRC+, .380 wOBA, .251 ISO, .344 BABIP, and 39.4% fly-ball rate against right-handed pitchers this season. There's a lot to love about this matchup, and it should lead to plenty of runs for the Rays.