Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Joel Embiid Over 10.5 Rebounds (-112)
Joel Embiid is due for an uptick in rebounds, and he's still snagged at least 12 boards in three of his last four games.
For the season, Embiid has totaled just 13.6 rebounds per 100 possessions. That's a career-low mark by 1.5 boards per 100 possessions. He was at 17.3 and 16.4 rebounds per 100 possessions in the past two campaigns. DARKO has him at an expected total of 15.2 rebounds per 100 possessions. As I said, he's due to get a few more rebounds.
Our model projects him to total 11.2 rebounds tonight against the Toronto Raptors.
LaMelo Ball Under 3.5 Made Threes (+100)
LaMelo Ball is in a matchup with the Sacramento Kings that holds a 240.0-point over/under, which sounds like a good place to look for overs. But there are reasons to like this under, especially at plus-money.
The Kings have been great at limiting three-point attempts. They're holding opponents to a three-point attempt rate of 34.6%, the second-lowest clip. Sacramento is keeping point guards to just 7.6 three-point attempts per night, tied for the 10th-fewest.
Since coming back, Ball has been letting it fly, taking 9, 13 and 13 treys in his three games. He's hit at least four threes in all three of those contests, shooting 45.7% from beyond the arc in that span. But that won't last. He is just a 37.8% three-point shooter for his career.
There's also some blowout risk as the Charlotte Hornets are 10.5-point 'dogs.
We project Ball to make 2.7 threes on 7.0 attempts. With the under at +100, it's a fantastic prop to be on tonight.
Grayson Allen Over 1.5 Made Threes (-102)
Grayson Allen is in a great matchup to sink a couple of three-balls.
Allen is facing the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pels have surrendered a three-point attempt rate of 42.4%, tied for the fourth-highest. Shooting guards are taking 9.8 three-point tries per game against New Orleans, the fifth-most.
Also helping Allen's three-point outlook is that Milwaukee Bucks will be sans Khris Middleton. With Middleton off the floor this season, Allen has hit 2.54 threes per 36 minutes, according to RotoGrinders' CourtIQ. That's a bump of 0.13 trifectas per 36 minutes.
We have Allen going 2.2 of 5.4 from deep today. The over is the side to bet.