Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Dejounte Murray Over 37.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-106)
With Trae Young listed as out for the Atlanta Hawks, Dejounte Murray has a big opportunity tonight.
From here on out, every game is essentially a must-win game for Atlanta, which means there's no worry about a lack of minutes for Murray tonight. When Young is off the court the season, Murray sees a 3.0% increase in offensive usage rate, putting him up to a team-high 27.7% usage rate.
This is the ideal scenario for Murray between the extra usage and a very secure floor of minutes, which should allow him to hit over 37.5 points+rebounds+assists. If we look over his last five games, Murray has totaled 36, 31, 38, 24, and 34 points+rebounds+assists. Yes, he's only been over the 37.5 mark one time, but all of those games were with Young on the court.
He's getting close to that mark without the extra offensive usage and should be able to reach for the over given Young is out. The matchup against the Chicago Bulls has a solid 229.0-point over/under, along with a close 5.0-point spread, giving us one of the best game environments on the slate.
Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 Made Three Pointers (-120)
The Cleveland Cavaliers are in the midst of a very close Eastern Conference playoff race, and that means full minutes for their starters.
When it comes to the hottest players in the league, Donovan Mitchell might be at the top of the list. He comes in with 40 points or more in each of his last four games and is doing everything he can to help the Cavs secure home-court advantage in the playoffs.
Over his last six games, he's hit at least three three-pointers in all six games while going over this 3.5 mark in four of them. When he's reaching for this type of ceiling every night, this feels like a prop he could hit by halftime.
When it comes to the matchup, he's up against the Orlando Magic, where we see a 4.5-point spread and a 222.0 game total. In terms of Orlando's defense, they have struggled this season against the deep ball to the tune of 12.9 made three-pointers allowed per game, which is the seventh-most in the league.
Dorian Finney-Smith Over 4.5 Rebounds (+106)
Finally, let's go to over 4.5 rebounds for Dorian Finney-Smith.
The Brooklyn Nets are hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves with a 224.0-point total and a close 2.0-point spread. Both teams have the full motivation to play and win, which is exactly what we want to see at this point in the season.
Finney-Smith has done a solid job on the boards lately and has been over this 4.5 mark in four of his last five games. Despite Minnesota having a ton of size with Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert, they are still allowing opponents to rack up 53.4 total rebounds per game, which is the fifth-most in the league.
The close game environment should enable plenty of back-and-forth action for Finney-Smith to hit the over once again on this prop.