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Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
| Team | Opp SP | Opp | O/U | Moneyline | Implied Total |
| CHW | Logan Gilbert | SEA | 7.5 | 136 | 3.4 |
| COL | Bryce Elder | ATL | 9.5 | 265 | 3.55 |
| STL | Kodai Senga | NYM | 8.5 | 130 | 3.9 |
| OAK | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI | 9.5 | 140 | 4 |
| CIN | Brandon Bielak | HOU | 8.5 | 116 | 4.02 |
| SEA | Lucas Giolito | CHW | 7.5 | -162 | 4.1 |
| MIL | Mitch Keller | PIT | 8.5 | -108 | 4.25 |
| PIT | Wade Miley | MIL | 8.5 | -108 | 4.25 |
| WSH | Braxton Garrett | MIA | 9.5 | 132 | 4.34 |
| HOU | Hunter Greene | CIN | 8.5 | -136 | 4.48 |
| KC | Griffin Canning | LAA | 10 | 146 | 4.5 |
| TEX | Trevor Richards | TOR | 9 | 114 | 4.5 |
| TOR | Dane Dunning | TEX | 9 | -134 | 4.5 |
| NYM | Adam Wainwright | STL | 8.5 | -154 | 4.6 |
| MIA | Jake Irvin | WSH | 9.5 | -156 | 5.16 |
| LAA | Mike Mayers | KC | 10 | -174 | 5.5 |
| PHI | James Kaprielian | OAK | 9.5 | -166 | 5.5 |
| ATL | Connor Seabold | COL | 9.5 | -330 | 5.95 |
Pitchers
Bryce Elder ($10,600)
At his second highest salary point this season, Atlanta's 24-year old starter will challenge a Colorado Rockies lineup with a .307 weighted on-base average (wOBA), a 23.7% K-rate, and a 7.5% barrel percentage in their last two seasons against right-handers.
Through 13 starts in his second Major League season, Elder has improved upon his rookie metrics (4.16 xFIP, 20.8% K-rate), accounting for a dominant 55.7% ground-ball percentage, a 3.75 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (xFIP), and six or more strikeouts in 53% of his appearances with a 10.8% swinging strike rate.
In a favorable opportunity against six projected hitters with K-rates ranging from 23.7% and 34.0%, the former fifth round pick rates as a relatively safe high floor play, ranking second among today's pitchers with a 34.2 fantasy projection and 5.73 expected strikeouts.
Mitch Keller ($10,200)
Despite producing 49.0 FanDuel points and seven strikeouts in his most recent start, Keller's salary has decreased to his lowest point in the last two months against a Milwaukee Brewers' lineup with a 24.4% K-rate and a .306 wOBA in this split.
In 87.0 innings this season, the Pirates' right-hander has been in career-best form through 14 starts, recording an impressive 3.27 xFIP, a sparkling 28.2% K-rate, and seven or more strikeouts in 78% of his appearances.
When considering his underrated matchup versus six projected hitters with K-rates over 23.5% and his recent decline in salary, Keller could be an undervalued option on Saturday with today's fifth highest projection at 28.8 FanDuel points and 5.06 expected strikeouts.
Logan Gilbert ($9,500)
At a salary ranked sixth among his position, Gllbert offers intriguing potential value with a 3.48 rating and a 33.1 fantasy projection versus a Chicago White Sox's offense with a 24.9% K-rate and a .306 wOBA.
While the 26-year old has produced an ugly 5.25 xFIP and a 18.2% K-rate in this his last three starts, the Mariners' right-hander is due for a change in luck when comparing his 3.43 seasonal xFIP with his 4.38 Earned Run Average and his 60.3% left on-base percentage with his career norm (71.7%).
Stacks
After scoring 32 runs in their last four games, Atlanta's elite bats have a mouth-watering spot to sustain their recent offense at home against Connor Seabold with a slate-high 5.95 expected run total.
In his largest sample size pitching in the Majors, the 27-year old right-hander has been absolutely horrible through eight starts this season, producing a 5.48 xFIP, a 16.7% K-rate, and a 7.1% opposing barrel rate.
Ideal Atlanta combinations should feature their best right-handed bats to take advantage of his reverse splits (5.05 xFIP, .401 wOBA) including Ronald Acuna Jr. (,353 expected average, 16.2% barrel rate), Austin Riley (.265 expected average, 9.4% barrel rate), Sean Murphy (.293 expected average, 16.9% barrel rate), and Marcell Ozuna (.372 expected wOBA, 15.3% barrel rate) while Ozzie Albies (.271 expected wOBA, 8.8% barrel rate), Matt Olson (19.0% barrel rate, .368 expected wOBA) and Michael Harris II (10.6% barrel rate) still rate well enough to be included with their pop from the left side.
In a matchup against Jake Irvin, Miami's lineup offers several options against a low-strikeout right-hander with little control of the strike zone (13.8% career walk rate), a horrid 6.16 career xFIP, and an opposing 8.2% barrel rate.
To best attack his trouble versus left-handed bats (6.66 xFIP, .389 wOBA), Luis Arraez (.331 expected average) and Jesus Sanchez (.378 expected wOBA, 12.0% barrel rate) are core options among the Marlins' offense while Jorge Soler (.392 expected wOA, 18.0% barrel rate) and Bryan De La Cruz (.336 expected wOBA, 7.3% barrel rate) deserve consideration with their recent batted ball form.
James Kaprielian will make his tenth start in a difficult spot against a Philadelphia offense ranked second on Saturday with a 5.5 expected team total.
In his third stint as a starter, the Athletics' right-hander been accounted for his worst metrics of his career through 49.2 innings, recording an eye-popping 6.05 xFIP, a bloating 12.8% walk percentage, and a horrid splits versus left-handed bats (.413 wOBA, 6.81 xFIP).
With his main weakness in mind, ideal targets in Philadelphia stacks should include any of their lefty hitters including Kyle Schwarber (.371 expected wOBA, 16.0% barrel rate), Bryce Harper (12.8% barrel rate, .380 expected wOBA), Bryson Stott (.262 expected average), Brandon Marsh (8.1% barrel rate), and Kody Clemens (7.4% barrel rate).