Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Robert Williams Over 1.5 Blocks (+104)
Robert Williams has swatted at least two shots in five of his past eight games, including in half of the four contests in the series versus the Atlanta Hawks.
Over the final 30 games of the regular season, Atlanta gave up the 10th-most blocks per night to centers (2.2), and Williams has notched a pair of blocks in each of the two games in this series in which he's seen at least 22 minutes.
We project him to play 23.8 minutes tonight, and while we have Williams pegged for 1.5 blocks, I'm more bullish on the over than our model is. I'm jumping at the chance to get it at plus-money.
Nikola Jokic to Record a Triple-Double (+210)
We hit on a Nikola Jokic triple-double prop in Game 3 at this exact same price, and I'm going back to the well for Game 5.
As is almost always the case with Jokic triple-doubles, it'll likely come down to assists as we have Jokic forecasted to produce 24.8 points and 13.5 boards. He's an overwhelming -650 to double-double.
In terms of assists, he's averaging 8.2 per game in the series, clearing the double-digit threshold only once. Counting the regular season, Jokic has played the Minnesota Timberwolves seven times this year and has recorded a triple-double in three of the games.
Minnesota is a good matchup for assists for Jokic as they permitted the seventh-most assists per game to centers over the final 30 games of the regular season. For the season as a whole, they surrendered the most assists per game to the position.
On top of that, Jokic is averaging 2.1 more minutes per night so far in this year's playoffs compared to his regular-season minutes. With a chance to close out the series tonight and avoid going back to Minnesota, Jokic should be in for plenty of minutes in Game 5.
This +210 price implies odds of 32.3%. I like Jokic's chances better than that, and our model does, too, projecting him juuuust shy of a triple-double at 9.3 assists (in addition to the 24.8 points and 13.5 rebounds).