Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
You can always track the latest odds and betting percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits.
In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for tonight's MNF doubleheader.
8:15 p.m. ET: Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (-14, 46.5)
The Titans (4-8) have dropped four of their last five games and just fell to the Colts 31-28, failing to cover as 1.5-point home dogs. On the flip side, the Dolphins (9-3) have won three straight games and just crushed the Commanders 45-15, easily covering as 9-point road favorites.
This line opened with Miami listed as a 12.5-point home favorite. Pros and Joes are both rushing to the window to lay the points with the Dolphins, as 80% of bets and 86% of money are backing the home team in a blowout. This lopsided betting has steamed the Dolphins up from -12.5 to -14. Double-digit favorites are 11-7 ATS (61%) this season, with Miami 2-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Home favorites who made the postseason the previous year are 38-29 ATS (57%).
Sharps are also leaning over, as the total has risen from 44.5 to 46.5. Currently 75% of bets and 76% of money is taking the over. The Dolphins are 7-5 to the over, including 3-2 to the over at home. Miami ranks 2nd in the NFL in scoring at 32 PPG. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the NFL in points allowed (Miami 22 PPG, Tennessee 21 PPG). The forecast calls for low 60s, cloudy skies and 10 MPH winds.
8:15 p.m. ET: Green Bay Packers (-6, 37) at New York Giants
The Packers (6-6) have won four of their last five games and just beat upset the Chiefs 27-19, winning outright as 6-point home dogs. Similarly, the Giants (4-8) have won two straight and just upset the Patriots 10-7, winning outright as 4.5-point home dogs.
This line opened with the Packers listed as a 6-point road favorite. The public is all over Green Bay, with 73% of bets laying the points. Throughout the week, any time this line jumps to Packers -6.5 we've seen some respected buyback on the Giants plus the hook (+6.5), dropping it back down to 6. Essentially, we are looking at a sharp line freeze and some subtle reverse line movement on the Giants plus the points. New York is only receiving 27% of bets but 37% of money, a contrarian "low bets, higher dollars" bet discrepancy. The Giants have a rest advantage as they are coming off a bye while the Packers played on Sunday night.
Sharps have also quietly leaned under. The total opened at 37 and hasn't budged despite 57% of bets taking the over. This signals a line freeze on the under, with the oddsmakers reluctant to raise the total for fear of giving out a better number to savvy contrarian bettors. The under is only receiving 43% of bets but 60% of money, a sharp contrarian bet split. Primetime unders are 30-13 (70%) this season. When the total is less than 39 the under is 21-11 (66%). Both teams rank in the bottom third in pace of play. Green Bay ranks 19th in scoring (21.5 PPG) and the Giants rank 32nd (13.3 PPG). The forecast calls for mid 30s with partly cloudy skies and 7-10 MPH winds.